06-09-2011, 04:43 AM
There are 9 potential candidates for Mafianess. Out of those 9, 3 are actually mafia, as long as we stick to the ratios of every single previous game. So, there's a 33.33% chance that we'll strike hot. That's just based strictly on what we know based on roles and etc and stuff.
Then we can go with Sleeptalk. We've had a Lance that claims that 5 people are suspicious, including me. Clearly, this post was just full of shit and is nothing more than your usual predictions revealed during the Night. Then we have one that says Vad is mafia because he/she "knows" which again just seems to be a prediction but told as more of a threat. We have another that says John Doe is innocent, which he is, and another that tried to evolve Rose. From what Rose said, it was true.
Vad was mentioned twice during the Sleeptalk phase, though I take that with a grain of salt. Could just be coincidence, or maybe somebody wasn't bullshitting. Rose was stated as being the target of evolution which neither clears nor confirms his alignment. "Mew" could be either town or mafia who selected a random town or mafia to evolve.
In terms of player behavior, Kaden already mentioned Whompt's lynch towards Vad (again mentioned) and suspected was trying to get Vad to evolve. So there's that. Then there's Waff. I found it strange that he didn't use his ever so famous RNG to determine who he'd first try to kill, as per usual. A minor thing but I'm scratching on the window to find anything we can use beyond what's already been discussed.
Because we have nothing concrete to go on, I'd say to lynch Vad because he seems to be a center of attention despite not actually saying anything today (it hasn't even been 12 hours but he's been online). Perhaps he just has shit luck or the mafia may be framing him, but we have nothing to go on. And unless we feel like letting everyone die again to the mafia, I'd rather we get our acts together, huddle up, and gang up on somebody. At the worst, we have a 66.67% chance to be wrong. At best, first Mafia kill.
Looking at it logically, unless protected, me or Kaden will be getting killed tonight. But there are still 7 more roles out there that haven't been revealed to the Mafia, so they might not have the balls to do it. Fetch.
Also, when does this day end? Is it 9PM EST or 24 hours from when it was posted. Just wanted clarification.
Then we can go with Sleeptalk. We've had a Lance that claims that 5 people are suspicious, including me. Clearly, this post was just full of shit and is nothing more than your usual predictions revealed during the Night. Then we have one that says Vad is mafia because he/she "knows" which again just seems to be a prediction but told as more of a threat. We have another that says John Doe is innocent, which he is, and another that tried to evolve Rose. From what Rose said, it was true.
Vad was mentioned twice during the Sleeptalk phase, though I take that with a grain of salt. Could just be coincidence, or maybe somebody wasn't bullshitting. Rose was stated as being the target of evolution which neither clears nor confirms his alignment. "Mew" could be either town or mafia who selected a random town or mafia to evolve.
In terms of player behavior, Kaden already mentioned Whompt's lynch towards Vad (again mentioned) and suspected was trying to get Vad to evolve. So there's that. Then there's Waff. I found it strange that he didn't use his ever so famous RNG to determine who he'd first try to kill, as per usual. A minor thing but I'm scratching on the window to find anything we can use beyond what's already been discussed.
Because we have nothing concrete to go on, I'd say to lynch Vad because he seems to be a center of attention despite not actually saying anything today (it hasn't even been 12 hours but he's been online). Perhaps he just has shit luck or the mafia may be framing him, but we have nothing to go on. And unless we feel like letting everyone die again to the mafia, I'd rather we get our acts together, huddle up, and gang up on somebody. At the worst, we have a 66.67% chance to be wrong. At best, first Mafia kill.
Looking at it logically, unless protected, me or Kaden will be getting killed tonight. But there are still 7 more roles out there that haven't been revealed to the Mafia, so they might not have the balls to do it. Fetch.
Also, when does this day end? Is it 9PM EST or 24 hours from when it was posted. Just wanted clarification.
![[Image: jd-1.jpg]](http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v234/waffuru/jd-1.jpg)
"I would happily blow 20 guys in an alley with bleedy dicks so I could
get AIDS then fuck a deer and kill it with my AIDS." - Louis C.K.
thanks waff
Kaden Wrote:I wish being ten John Does made me feel better than it actually does.

